Showing posts with label housing boom. Show all posts
Showing posts with label housing boom. Show all posts

Thursday, March 12, 2009

The @#$#@'d up economy - how did we get here?

For anyone that knows me well, it's no secret that I love reading and talking about the housing market.

And with the economy in shambles, I have to ask myself, "How did we get here?"

Why is everyone struggling?

Sure, if you lose your job, that's a hardship whether you're making 6 figures or minimum wage. We all have bills to pay and it's tough to pay your rent or mortgage without an income.

However, the bigger problem is really the housing bubble.

Why?

It's not just that banks and investors are losing their shirts because of speculation in the housing market.

Because the cost of real estate rose so rapidly the past 5-6 years, we are all now paying the price.

Why?

Because your house or condo isn't worth double, triple, or quadruple what you paid for it 2-4 or even 5 years ago.

And now every American is paying for their neighbor's greed and lack of math skills.

Say, for example, the average American household makes $46K a year. I'm not sure what the average salary is but that sounds about right according to the 2005 census.

How can that household afford an increase in rent from say $700 - 10 years ago to $1000 or $1200 now? Simply put, they can't.

I mean, most people I know are making the same or less money than they were 5-10 years ago and even if you get a raise, how many of us are making 35-50% more to cover the increase in housing costs?

It's no wonder housing prices are tanking.

It's supply and demand working its magic and as more people lose their jobs, rent prices will continue to come down. And housing prices in general will have to come down to sane levels.

I don't care how many things you cut out - cell phone, cable tv, eating out, vacations, etc. I think you could cut out all those "luxuries" and still be screwed financially because housing prices are still way out of whack.

So thanks to Alan Greenspan and George Bush and all the greedy mortgage brokers and banks and lenders. And thanks to anyone who bought real estate as an "investment" in the past few years.

Hold on to your hats, ladies & gentlemen.

We're in for a bumpy ride!

Tuesday, March 3, 2009

Argh - is there anyone sane in LA?

I really am amazed at the lack of sanity in LA.

Sure, LA has a bad rep for the "crazies" but it seems to be getting progressively worse each year that I'm here.

Maybe it started with the housing boom and as rent prices and real estate prices went up, so left more and more of my friends with kids (or friends with a kid) as of course it makes sense to live somewhere cleaner, safer, and cheaper than LA if you have little ones.

So now I fear that LA is just the way it is and it will never get better.

It's declined the past 3-5 years I'd say and while I keep sticking it out here hoping things will recover, will they?

I'd like to think so.

The optimistic in me says, "yeah, stick it out".

But somewhere in my heart I fear the truth is LA will never go back to the way it was. The great days of the late 90's when everyone here was happy, making good money and the energy was good.

Is it time to plan my escape?

Maybe.

You may see my next post from somewhere unexpected...